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Picturing Retirement: How Much Will You Need?
Saving for retirement is a favor you do for yourself and your family. Think of it as a reward for many years of hard work. But to help make sure this gift you give yourself is the right size—a reasonable fit for the person you want to be and the life you want to live—you need to figure out how much money you’ll need to finance your retirement. To bring the future into focus, consider that you’ll need anywhere from 60 to 100 percent of your final working income to maintain your current standard of living in retirement. For the purposes of this estimation, final income is calculated on the basis of your current income, years to retirement, and average annual salary increases. Your actual salary just before you retire may differ greatly. However, it is useful to see this number as an estimate for what you’ll need every year in retirement. Then look at how Social Security, pensions, part-time work, inflation, and distributions from an employer-sponsored program will affect your bottom line. When will you be ready to retire? Most retirement programs mandate you begin taking distributions no later than age 70 ½ and the Social Security Administration defines retirement age as 67 for people born after 1960. The average length of retirement, however, is getting longer because many people are retiring younger and living longer. Today, a 65-year-old man can expect to live until his early 80s, and a 65-year-old woman can expect to live a few years longer. According the National Center for Health Statistics, by the year 2050 about one million Americans will be at least 100 years old. You might not live until 100, but it is likely that you’ll have many years of living in retirement to finance. What will you be doing? How much will it cost? However, if you own a home, property taxes will undoubtedly increase. Because Medicare coverage may not be comprehensive, your health care costs could rise significantly, especially if you may have to pay for health benefits previously covered by your employer. Again, bear in mind that experts estimate you’ll need between 60 and 100 percent of your current annual income to meet everyday expenses when you retire. And those expenses will be higher, in dollar terms, than they are today. Since 1960, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has risen an average of 4.4 percent a year. As each year goes by, every dollar in your pocket buys fewer goods and services. When estimating how much you’ll need to retire, it’s essential to consider how inflation—the general rise in the price of goods and services—can erode the buying power of each dollar in your retirement account. Your cost of living will continue to rise throughout your retirement. That means you’ll probably need to increase the amount you withdraw from your investments each year you’re retired just to maintain the same standard of living. To reach a ballpark figure of the total amount you’ll need, calculate 80 percent of your current income (or slightly more if you are just starting out in your career.) That will represent a rough estimate of your annual living expenses in retirement. Then multiply it by 20 or even 30 years. It is a lot of money, and it won’t come automatically. Where will the money come from? A pension from your current or previous employer may also cover a portion of your living expenses in retirement, but fewer employers now offer guaranteed-for-life pensions. If you are eligible for a pension, your employer can estimate those benefits for you. Chances are that your primary source of retirement income will be your own savings. And a retirement program offered by your employer is one of the smartest ways—if not the smartest way—to save for retirement.
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